All Reports
July 2023
Menzingen Verification Experiment by Pavel Podvig, Eleanor Krabill, Vivienne Zhang, Eric Lepowsky, Manuel Kreutle, Christoph Wirz, Alexander Glaser, Jaewoo Shin, Veronika Bedenko
In March 2023, UNIDIR conducted the Menzingen Verification Experiment to test procedures for confirming the absence of nuclear weapons at storage sites.
July 2023
Nuclear Risk Assessment Report - June 2023 by Tianran Xu, Jaewoo Shin, Elin Bergner
Nuclear risk can emanate from various factors. These range from the more obvious military developments and incidents that could lead to increased tensions and possibly even nuclear misuse, to the often overlooked domestic and external contexts in which a country perceives its circumstances and, based on those perceptions, makes decisions that have direct or indirect implications for nuclear risk.
June 2023
Size Estimates of DPRK's Nuclear Devices by Tianran Xu
On 27 March 2023, DPRK leader Kim Jong Un reportedly inspected the country's nuclear weapons. A nuclear warhead called "Hwasan-31" - intended to be used for several different nuclear delivery systems - was revealed during this inspection.
May 2023
Use of Satellite Imagery in Support of On-site Inspections Lessons From a Field Exercise by Jaewoo Shin, Veronika Bedenko, Pavel Podvig
In March 2023, the United Nations Institute of Disarmament Research (UNIDIR) conducted a field experiment, simulating an on-site inspection to verify the absence of nuclear warheads at a military site. As part of the experiment, UNIDIR, in collaboration with Open Nuclear Network (ONN), tested the applicability of commercially available satellite imagery to support the inspection.
December 2022
Learning from the JCPOA Experience: Restarting Dialogue Aimed at Crisis Resolution by Veronika Bedenko, Valeriia Hesse, Jaewoo Shin
This paper explores lessons to be learned from the process and framework of the negotiations under the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) with regard to conflict mediation and trust-building, especially during the early stages of negotiation. The findings are based on an analysis of numerous interviews with those involved in the JCPOA negotiation process and on the study of relevant publicly available interviews and commentaries.
November 2022
Escalating Tensions on the Korean Peninsula by Tianran Xu, Katsuhisa Furukawa, Elin Bergner, Kristiana Nitisa
Since late September, the Korean Peninsula has witnessed a new round of escalation of tensions.
November 2022
Usage of Synthetic Aperture Radar Data for Nuclear Fuel Cycle Monitoring by Jaewoo Shin, Marcy Fowler, Paolo Pasquali
The paper was submitted for the IAEA's Symposium on International Safeguards: Reflecting on the Past and Anticipating the Future.
November 2022
Navigating Ethical Dilemmas in Open Source Information Analysis by Sarah Laderman, Tianran Xu, Marcy Fowler, Ben Loehrke, Lousia Kenausis
The paper was submitted for the IAEA's Symposium on International Safeguards: Reflecting on the Past and Anticipating the Future.
November 2022
Combating Nuclear Misinformation and Disinformation by Marcy Fowler, Elin Bergner, Kristiana Nitisa
The paper was submitted for the IAEA's Symposium on International Safeguards: Reflecting on the Past and Anticipating the Future.
November 2022
Improving Data Access and Credibility in Low-Information Environments: Case of DPRK by Elin Bergner, Rachel Minyoung Lee, Jaewoo Shin, Tianran Xu
The paper was submitted for the IAEA's Symposium on International Safeguards: Reflecting on the Past and Anticipating the Future.
