The paper was submitted for the IAEA's Symposium on International Safeguards: Reflecting on the Past and Anticipating the Future.
Abstract
The risk of unintentional misinformation or deliberate disinformation undermining or even compromising the analysis of open source information, including scientific literature that could relate to nuclear non-proliferation, requires both an advanced technical understanding of the risk and the development and deployment of tools and approaches to counter it. Given these challenges, this paper will seek to provide an assessment of the problem, and then indicate some potential mitigating steps, including some systematic approaches that governments and organizations have taken, and also tools and platforms that can be used by analysts and others to evaluate the credibility and veracity of open source data.