January 2025
To understand North Korea’s intentions regarding its nuclear programme, it is essential to examine its nuclear rhetoric, which reflects Pyongyang’s foreign policy calculus and its implications for regional and global security. This article begins with the collapse of the 2019 US-North Korea summit in Hanoi, a pivotal moment for North Korea’s nuclear and foreign policy. It argues that North Korea’s nuclear signalling has grown increasingly hardline since the summit, aligning with its foreign policy reorientation and presenting greater proliferation challenges amid the war in Ukraine and shifts in the global order.
January 2025
The sanctions regime on North Korea is at an inflection point. The UN sanctions monitoring framework has been dismantled in parallel to North Korea beginning to supply munitions, missiles and troops to Russia for use in the conflict in Ukraine. This comes in addition to the re-establishment of North Korean international trade after the COVID 19 pandemic. It precedes the inauguration of President Trump for his second term. Collectively, these factors mark a new epoch for sanctions on North Korea.
December 2024
Over the summer of 2024, international media focused on military escalation risks along the Belarusian-Ukrainian border, highlighting troop build-ups and reconnaissance activities. However, de-escalation efforts by Minsk and Kyiv received little attention, particularly Belarus' nuanced approach to security policy, blending military deterrence with diplomacy, which could hold strategic implications for European security.
December 2024
This article analyses the intensifying nature of international sanctions on North Korea and traces their impact on inter-Korean relations. It also examines how the new DPRK-Russian connection in the wake of the Ukraine War is affecting the sanction regime on North Korea and inter-Korean relations. This article is part of a sanctions series.
November 2024
The article examines the extensive US sanctions on North Korea, imposed for issues like nuclear weapons, ballistic missiles, human rights abuses and illicit activities. Rooted in legislation and executive orders, these sanctions are complex, spanning decades and including both national and UN-aligned measures, with limited paths for relief.
September 2024
UN sanctions on the DPRK were first imposed in 2006 following its nuclear test and missile launches. Over time, these sanctions expanded in scope, targeting North Korea’s economy and leadership. Despite increased restrictions, division among the UN Security Council members has weakened the sanction regime, raising concerns about effectiveness and humanitarian impact.
August 2024
The paper investigates the broader impacts of UN sanctions on North Korea. It first clarifies that sanctions do not affect the volume of humanitarian aid. It then details how sanctions have hindered aid delivery and worsened North Korea's food crisis, suggesting that lifting sanctions could prevent further deaths from malnutrition-related diseases and starvation.
June 2024
The article discusses China's implementation of UNSC sanctions against the DPRK, highlighting its use of executive measures, participation in specialised UN organs and national legislation. It reviews the efficiency of China’s sanction procedures, the role of key government agencies and the complexities in enforcing sanctions, especially concerning dual-use items and geopolitical influences.
June 2024
This article explores South Korea's approach to implementing UNSC sanctions against North Korea. Unlike the United States, South Korea lacks a dedicated sanctions statute and instead revises public notices of existing related statues. The article details the legal framework, administrative processes and the roles of various ministries in enforcing these sanctions.
June 2024
The article explores ongoing AI convergence with the nuclear field at the practical level, focusing on nuclear safety, security, and safeguards. It details how States apply AI techniques to enhance functions, citing scientific publications. The article then examines the potential political, practical, and technical challenges in leveraging the benefits of AI at the international level.