November 2025
Strong Bow Rising: Taiwan Unveils New Anti-Ballistic Missile by Tianran Xu
This article updates the Taiwan Conventional Defence Series with information revealed at the Taipei Aerospace and Defense Technology Exhibition (TADTE), September 2025.
August 2025
Taiwan's Air and Missile Defence. Part 5: Short-range air defence of ROC Army by Tianran Xu
The series on Taiwan’s conventional defence aims to provide a clearer understanding of Taiwan’s defence capabilities and contribute to the discourse on defence and the wider geopolitical issues surrounding Taiwan.
July 2025
Russia-DPRK Military Cooperation: A Shifting Geopolitical Landscape by ONN Advisory Council Members
The 2024 Russia-North Korea Comprehensive Strategic Partnership Treaty marks a turning point in East Asia’s security landscape. Reviving elements of their Cold War alliance, the treaty reflects Moscow’s growing reliance on Pyongyang amid its isolation over Ukraine and North Korea’s shifting stance on sovereignty and military cooperation.
June 2025
Beyond borders, Below Thresholds: Operation Spider’s Web and the Shadow of Escalation by Raymond Gough
Ukraine’s 1 June 2025 covert drone strike demonstrated Kyiv’s ongoing capacity to impose material costs beyond the frontlines but may ultimately represent a short-term operational success that incurs long-term strategic costs.
May 2025
Reclaiming Relevance: New Models for Funding Nuclear Risk Reduction by Andreas Persbo, Conor Seyle
On 22 April 2025, Carnegie Corporation of New York announced the establishment of a USD 10.2 million consortium, initially slated to operate for two years, to support collaborative initiatives aimed at reducing nuclear risks. This mechanism offers a means of countering the funding decline.
April 2025
Taiwan's Air and Missile Defence. Part 4: Long-range SAMs versus PLA offensive capabilities by Tianran Xu
The series on Taiwan’s conventional defence aims to provide a clearer understanding of Taiwan’s defence capabilities and contribute to the discourse on defence and the wider geopolitical issues surrounding Taiwan.
April 2025
Presenting our Prediction Partnerships at PAX sapiens by Karim Kamel
Our foresight and prediction work is not about identifying a precise date when nuclear war will occur. In fact, our goal is that we never be exactly right about such a forecast. Instead, we illuminate potentialities, trace milestones, and identify the warning signs that indicate rising risk. If we succeed, our insights will prompt action, and by doing so, we will have helped avert a crisis rather than witnessed it unfold.
March 2025
Opinion: Sweden’s NATO Accession – a Brexit Without a Vote by Olamide Samuel
Let us for one moment imagine that the UK government decided to leave the EU, without ever calling for a referendum. Such a move would have been rightly criticised as one of the gravest subversions of democratic processes the modern western world has ever seen.
February 2025
Trump's Gaza Plan will Fail, so will the Status Quo by Raymond Gough
US President Donald Trump’s "Gaza plan" is almost certain to remain unrealised. Legally dubious and politically unworkable, even Trump himself likely does not see it as a serious policy blueprint. Yet, his rhetoric has succeeded in shifting the regional discourse, underscoring a broader reality: the status quo in Gaza is unsustainable.
January 2025
Taiwan's Air and Missile Defence. Part 3: Tien Kung-3 and Tien Kung-4 by Tianran Xu
The series on Taiwan’s conventional defence aims to provide a clearer understanding of Taiwan’s defence capabilities and contribute to the discourse on defence and the wider geopolitical issues surrounding Taiwan.
