September 2022
Assessment of the Impact of June and July 2022 Rainfall and Flooding in the DPRK: Warnings from First Monsoon Season Damage by Elin Bergner, Nikita Degtyarev
Between late June and mid-July 2022, the Democratic People's Republic of Korea (DPRK) experienced heavy rainfall and flooding after having suffered severe drought from April through June 2022.
April 2022
Increasing Nuclear Risk on the Korean Peninsula: the DPRK's Pursuit of Tactical Nuclear War-Fighting Capabilities by Tianran Xu
On 16 April 2022, the Democratic People's Republic of Korea (DPRK) reportedly conducted successful tests of a new type of short-range ballistic missile. The DPRK claimed that this new type of missile would boost the firepower of its frontline long-range artillery units and enhance the efficiency in the operation of its tactical nuclear weapons.
January 2022
Japan in Pursuit of a "New Course" for Its Missile Defence Strategy by Katsuhisa Furukawa
On 18 December 2020, the Japanese Cabinet decided on a new policy to upgrade its missile defence systems to cope with the evolving missile threats in the surrounding region. This decision followed an earlier statement made by the former Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe.
January 2022
Constraints and Outlook: Future Deployment of DPRK Ballistic Missile Submarines by Tianran Xu
The Democratic People's Republic of Korea (DPRK) has been developing nuclear-capable submarine-launched ballistic missiles (SLBMs) and ballistic missile submarines. While numerous articles about the test launch activities and the ballistic missile submarines exist, there appears to be a lack of discussion on how the DPRK leadership might deploy their sea-based strategic assets. This report tries to initiate such a discussion and, through an analysis of the geographical and technological constraints associated with the DPRK's submarines, to forecast the operation mode of the State's future ballistic missile submarine fleet.
November 2021
Institutions Relevant to Ballistic Missile Development in Myanmar by Tianran Xu
This report focuses on institutions in Myanmar that might potentially be capable of developing components subject to the Missile Technology Control Regime (MTCR) or the Hague Code of Conduct.
September 2021
Ballistic Missile and Rocket Institutions in Taiwan, China by Tianran Xu
The security and stability of the Asia-Pacific region have become increasingly important for global peace and prosperity as a crisis around the Korean Peninsula, the Taiwan Strait or the South China Sea could escalate into an armed conflict with global implications. To address their security concerns, entities in the Asia-Pacific region are developing ballistic missiles.
August 2021
Food Insecurity in the DPRK in 2021 by Katsuhisa Furukawa
There have been frequent media reports on possible famine and starvation in the Democratic People's Republic of Korea (DPRK) in 2021. This paper assesses these accounts using available open-source information and provides an overview of the food security situation in the DPRK.
April 2021
Ballistic Missile Submarines and Submarine-launched Ballistic Missiles of the Democratic People's Republic of Korea by Tianran Xu
This factsheet offers a brief introduction to the ballistic missile submarines of the Democratic People's Republic of Korea and the associated submarine-launched ballistic missiles.
April 2021
ONN Korean Peninsula Risk Assessment, March 2021 by Jaewoo Shin, Veronika Bedenko, Clayton Besaw, Tianran Xu
In March 2021, amidst the ongoing "North Korea policy review," the Biden administration and the DPRK revealed contrasting stances, hinting at obstacles to normalization after the failed 2019 talks in Hanoi. Despite ongoing evaluations, mutual threat perceptions and differing interpretations of past agreements hinder progress in US-DPRK relations.
